A peace framework between the U.S. and Iran may reduce the risk of disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, but it doesn’t end the food security challenges already underway. This update looks at how El Niño, Western drought, New World Screwworm in Texas, and declining meat processing capacity continue to affect food systems. The original 225 million figure was never a prediction, but a model showing how quickly multiple pressures can compound when critical systems are stressed.
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